Deportes La Serena vs San Luis de Quillota – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Portada (La Serena).

Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.63	1.31
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
31	8
Shots on target
13	4
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
90% (468/522)	68% (195/285)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.51	1.23
Total shots
31	8
Shots on target
13	4
Shots off target
13	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
23	5
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
52	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
90% (468/522)	68% (195/285)
Long passes
71% (15/21)	39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
81% (156/192)	54% (32/59)
Crosses
50% (14/28)	0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.96	0.56
Throw-ins
14	15
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
64% (7/11)	76% (19/25)
Duels won
43	42
Clearances
20	31
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	9
xGOT faced
1.23	3.51
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Pinto M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Jara Gonzalez G. A. (A),
33', Osorio R. 🟥,
37', Juarez F. ↓, Sarria G. ↑,
41', Cabrera Figueroa L. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Flores F. ↓, Araya J. ↑,
46', Pastenes F. ↓, Carreno M. ↑,
46', Larrain M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
59', Ovando L. ↓, Gallegos S. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
72', Pinto M. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
72', Gutierrez C. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
75', Zanini A. 🟨,
79', 4 - 1, Araya J. (Pen),
84', Navarrete J. ↓, Aguila Bastias Y. M. ↑,
90+1', Rojas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
90+1', Moreira E. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
90+4', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
90+6', Gallegos S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportes La Serena
56.4%

Draw
24.8%

San Luis de Quillota
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.1%

20.4%

Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	3.74 ↑ (3.62)	4.83 ↑ (4.44)	8.4% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 50.9% – 95.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - San Luis (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Deportes La Serena (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 5 - 62.5%). San Luis (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Deportes La Serena is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against San Luis de Quillota?

Deportes La Serena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Luis de Quillota won against Deportes La Serena?

San Luis de Quillota has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota were as follows:

06.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 3:1

25.08.2024 Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota 2:0

14.04.2024 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 0:1

01.10.2023 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 5:0

20.05.2023 Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota 2:2

Latest results of Deportes La Serena

22.06.2025 Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Palestino - Deportes La Serena 2:1 ✺

06.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 3:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Deportes La Serena - Coquimbo Unido 2:4 ✺

25.05.2025 Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena 1:3 ✺

Latest results of San Luis de Quillota

21.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Santiago Morning 0:0 ✺

16.06.2025 Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota 3:0 ✺

06.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 3:1 ✺

30.05.2025 Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota 3:1 ✺

23.05.2025 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 2:1 ✺

Chilean Cup Table

2026

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Iquique	2	1	1	0	4:0	4	4
2	San Marcos de Arica	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1
3	Coquimbo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Limache	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Copiapo	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	San Luis	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	U. Catolica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antofagasta	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Cobreloa	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Cobresal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	La Serena	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	S. Wanderers	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
2	San Felipe	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
3	U. De Chile	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Union La Calera	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. Espanola	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
2	Recoleta	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
3	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	O'Higgins	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rangers	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
2	Curico Unido	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
3	Nublense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	U. De Concepcion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CD Santa Cruz	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	A. Italiano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Palestino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magallanes	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Temuco	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
2	D. Puerto Montt	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
3	D. Concepcion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Huachipato	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Copa Chile (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)