Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Cup Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena
Result
1:5
16/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.55
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
90
Passes
85% (300/355)86% (333/385)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.584.24
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (300/355)86% (333/385)
Long passes
71% (53/75)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
74% (95/129)77% (67/87)
Crosses
13% (4/32)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.48
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
1318
Tackles
86% (12/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4548
Clearances
1534
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
4.240.58
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', Espinoza V. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Vargas J. (Pen),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Espinoza E. , Duma J. (A),
  • 18', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Chamorro F. , Vargas J. (A),
  • 35', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 3, Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Vargas J. (A),
  • 37', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
  • 40', Torres Quintana D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Navarro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Herrera A. , Margas L. ,
  • 46', Valladares J. , Torres Quintana D. ,
  • 62', Margas L. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 4, Pinto M. ,
  • 68', Pinto M. , Herrera E. ,
  • 68', Pereyra J. , Monreal J. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez V. , Silva J. ,
  • 68', Duma J. , Cubillos F. ,
  • 75', Vargas J. , Villarroel M. ,
  • 75', Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 75', Diaz S. , Ovando L. ,
  • 79', Rivera M. 🟨,
  • 86', Rivera M. , Cortes M. ,
  • 88', 1 - 5, Gallegos S. , Ramirez M. (A),
  • 89', Ramirez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santiago Wanderers
34.5%
Draw
28.9%
Deportes La Serena
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28.1% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.25)
    3.19
    (3.3)
    2.59
    (3.02)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
    • Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Deportes La Serena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 4:2
    28.07.2024 Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena 0:1
    09.03.2024 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 1:2
    08.07.2023 Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena 2:1
    19.02.2023 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato