Result
1:5
16/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (300/355) | 86% (333/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 4.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (300/355) | 86% (333/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (53/75) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (95/129) | 77% (67/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.24 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', Espinoza V. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Vargas J. (Pen),
- 15', 1 - 1, Espinoza E. ⚽, Duma J. (A),
- 18', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 35', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 3, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 37', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
- 40', Torres Quintana D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Navarro L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Herrera A. ↓, Margas L. ↑,
- 46', Valladares J. ↓, Torres Quintana D. ↑,
- 62', Margas L. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 4, Pinto M. ⚽,
- 68', Pinto M. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 68', Pereyra J. ↓, Monreal J. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez V. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 68', Duma J. ↓, Cubillos F. ↑,
- 75', Vargas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 75', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 75', Diaz S. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
- 79', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 86', Rivera M. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 5, Gallegos S. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
- 89', Ramirez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santiago Wanderers
34.5% | Draw
28.9% | Deportes La Serena
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.25) |
3.19 ↓
(3.3) |
2.59 ↓
(3.02) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
- Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportes La Serena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Wanderers won against Deportes La Serena?
Santiago Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Santiago Wanderers?
Deportes La Serena has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
09.07.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
4:2
28.07.2024
Santiago Wanderers
-
Deportes La Serena
0:1
09.03.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
1:2
08.07.2023
Santiago Wanderers
-
Deportes La Serena
2:1
19.02.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
3:1
Latest results of Santiago Wanderers
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | |
