Result
1:5
16/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 2.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
85% (300/355) | 86% (333/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 2.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.58 | 4.24 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
85% (300/355) | 86% (333/385) |
Long passes |
---|
71% (53/75) | 58% (28/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (95/129) | 77% (67/87) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (4/32) | 0% (0/2) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (12/14) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.24 | 0.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.76 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', Espinoza V. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Vargas J. (Pen),
- 15', 1 - 1, Espinoza E. ⚽, Duma J. (A),
- 18', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 35', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 3, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 37', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
- 40', Torres Quintana D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Navarro L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Herrera A. ↓, Margas L. ↑,
- 46', Valladares J. ↓, Torres Quintana D. ↑,
- 62', Margas L. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 4, Pinto M. ⚽,
- 68', Pinto M. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 68', Pereyra J. ↓, Monreal J. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez V. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 68', Duma J. ↓, Cubillos F. ↑,
- 75', Vargas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 75', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 75', Diaz S. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
- 79', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 86', Rivera M. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 5, Gallegos S. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
- 89', Ramirez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santiago Wanderers 34.5% | Draw 28.9% | Deportes La Serena 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.25) |
3.19 ↓ (3.3) |
2.59 ↓ (3.02) |
7.8% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
- Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportes La Serena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Wanderers won against Deportes La Serena?
Santiago Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Santiago Wanderers?
Deportes La Serena has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
09.07.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
4:2
28.07.2024
Santiago Wanderers
-
Deportes La Serena
0:1
09.03.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
1:2
08.07.2023
Santiago Wanderers
-
Deportes La Serena
2:1
19.02.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
Santiago Wanderers
3:1
Latest results of Santiago Wanderers
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Limache | La Serena | |
2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | |