Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso).

Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	2.55
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
9	0
Passes
85% (300/355)	86% (333/385)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	2.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	4.24
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
9	0
Touches in opposition box
25	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
18	13
Passes
85% (300/355)	86% (333/385)
Long passes
71% (53/75)	58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
74% (95/129)	77% (67/87)
Crosses
13% (4/32)	0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.48
Throw-ins
12	12
Fouls
13	18
Tackles
86% (12/14)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
45	48
Clearances
15	34
Interceptions
2	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
4.24	0.58
Goals prevented
-0.76	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', Espinoza V. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Vargas J. (Pen),
15', 1 - 1, Espinoza E. ⚽, Duma J. (A),
18', Herrera A. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
35', Pinto M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 3, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
37', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
40', Torres Quintana D. 🟨,
45+2', Navarro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Margas L. ↑,
46', Valladares J. ↓, Torres Quintana D. ↑,
62', Margas L. 🟨,
65', 1 - 4, Pinto M. ⚽,
68', Pinto M. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
68', Pereyra J. ↓, Monreal J. ↑,
68', Gonzalez V. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
68', Duma J. ↓, Cubillos F. ↑,
75', Vargas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
75', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
75', Diaz S. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
79', Rivera M. 🟨,
86', Rivera M. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
88', 1 - 5, Gallegos S. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
89', Ramirez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Santiago Wanderers
34.5%

Draw
28.9%

Deportes La Serena
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.25)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.59 ↓ (3.02)	7.8% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Deportes La Serena (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Deportes La Serena (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportes La Serena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Wanderers won against Deportes La Serena?

Santiago Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Santiago Wanderers?

Deportes La Serena has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena were as follows:

09.07.2025 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 4:2

28.07.2024 Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena 0:1

09.03.2024 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 1:2

08.07.2023 Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena 2:1

19.02.2023 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 3:1

Latest results of Santiago Wanderers

12.07.2025 Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Wanderers 0:3 ✺

09.07.2025 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 4:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido 2:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers 2:3 ✺

21.06.2025 Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportes La Serena

09.07.2025 Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers 4:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota 4:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Palestino - Deportes La Serena 2:1 ✺

06.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 3:1 ✺

Chilean Cup Table

2026

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Iquique	2	1	1	0	4:0	4	4
2	San Marcos de Arica	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1
3	Coquimbo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Limache	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Copiapo	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	San Luis	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	U. Catolica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antofagasta	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Cobreloa	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Cobresal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	La Serena	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	S. Wanderers	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
2	San Felipe	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
3	U. De Chile	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Union La Calera	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. Espanola	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
2	Recoleta	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
3	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	O'Higgins	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rangers	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
2	Curico Unido	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
3	Nublense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	U. De Concepcion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CD Santa Cruz	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	A. Italiano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Palestino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magallanes	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Temuco	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
2	D. Puerto Montt	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
3	D. Concepcion	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Huachipato	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Copa Chile (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)