Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Linares – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares
Result
1:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Penaloza S. 🟨,
  • 15', 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Vallejos D. ,
  • 21', Serrano K. 🟨,
  • 36', Mundaca K. 🟨,
  • 40', Duma C. 🟨,
  • 40', 🟥,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Solano B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Monardes D. , Cortes B. ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 66', Solano B. 🟥,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Provincial Ovalle
52.9%
Draw
26.8%
Deportes Linares
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.8% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 29.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provincial Ovalle's performance.
  • Deportes Linares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Linares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provincial Ovalle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Linares than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Linares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.09)
    3.4
    (3.18)
    4.51
    (3.32)
    9.5%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Provincial Ovalle will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Ovalle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Deportes Linares is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ovalle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares 2:1
    27.04.2024 Deportes Linares - Provincial Ovalle 2:0
    Latest results of Deportes Linares
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt1475227:111626
    2Provincial Ovalle1475217:9826
    3Dep. Linares1474321:19225
    4Osorno1482429:171223
    5Melipilla1471624:19522
    6San Antonio Unido1463527:24321
    7Concon National1462625:20520
    8Brujas Salamanca1453616:20-418
    9Trasandino1451819:22-316
    10General Velasquez1436515:22-715
    11Deportes Rengo1342712:20-814
    12Santiago City1433816:33-1712
    13Real San Joaquin132389:21-129

          Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso
          Relegation