Deportes Concepción vs Deportes Magallanes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ovalle J. ,
  • 18', Kimura N. 🟨,
  • 41', Quiroz J. 🟨,
  • 42', Espinola J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Quiroz J. , Vicuna M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vicuna M. ,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 63', Sepulveda N. , Manzo F. ,
  • 69', Toledo A. , Figueroa D. ,
  • 71', Figueroa D. 🟨,
  • 80', Ortega F. 🟨,
  • 81', Araya M. , Munoz C. ,
  • 86', Ovalle J. , Escobar C. ,
  • 86', Sandoval M. , Zambrano Diego ,
  • 86', Peraza F. , Conelli V. ,
  • 90', Espinola J. , Nunez F. ,
  • 90+2', Nunez F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Vasquez M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Escobar C. ,
  • 90+9', Escobar C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportes Concepción
49.4%
Draw
27.6%
Deportes Magallanes
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 30% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.
  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Magallanes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Magallanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.37)
    3.47
    (3.1)
    4.17
    (3.02)
    4.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2.
    • Deportes Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Magallanes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Deportes Concepción might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Concepción 0:0