Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Magallanes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
116
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Camisassa B. 🟨,
  • 35', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
  • 40', Vasquez M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', Flores E. , Cavero H. ,
  • 62', Guzman G. , Liuzzi B. ,
  • 62', Peraza F. , Cabezas V. ,
  • 64', Quiroz I. , Tati D. ,
  • 65', Acevedo D. , Pinto M. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Salinas Flores H. ,
  • 74', Coronel S. , Neira E. ,
  • 74', Farfan R. , Sanzana I. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Arias D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Quiroz J. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Salinas Flores H. ,
  • 90+2', Fredes M. , James J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Arias D. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Santa Cruz
43.6%
Draw
27%
Deportes Magallanes
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 28.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.38)
    3.42
    (3.25)
    3.14
    (2.87)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3.
    • Recent form of Deportes Santa Cruz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Magallanes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
    06.02.2026 Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz 1:2
    31.01.2026 Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes 4:1
    07.09.2025 Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes 0:3
    05.05.2025 Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz 3:0
    17.08.2024 Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes 3:1