Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Melipilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla
Result
1:2
17/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Barrios N. ,
  • 44', Demateis V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Abarzua F. (Own goal),
  • 57', Mundaca K. 🟨,
  • 61', Magana C. 🟨,
  • 63', Mundaca K. , Harding G. ,
  • 63', Tolosa T. , Riquelme R. ,
  • 68', Caceres B. , Becerra V. ,
  • 68', Maturana N. , Arenas F. ,
  • 72', Luarte G. , Cruz Y. ,
  • 75', Barrios N. , Bravo D. ,
  • 76', Becerra M. , Cortes B. ,
  • 80', Magana C. , Sepulveda G. ,
  • 80', Vargas L. , Inostroza B. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Sepulveda G. ,
  • 87', Avila M. 🟨,
  • 88', Solano B. 🟨,
  • 90', Avila M. , Ortiz J. ,

Chances of winning


Provincial Ovalle
41.6%
Draw
30.2%
Deportes Melipilla
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 26.8% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Provincial Ovalle's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Melipilla's recent form is better than expected.
  • Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.64)
    3.05
    (3.42)
    3.26
    (5.25)
    8.5%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ovalle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • Ovalle is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melipilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ovalle will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ovalle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ovalle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla 1:3
    11.05.2024 Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle 1:1
    Latest results of Provincial Ovalle
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt17105238:122635
    2Provincial Ovalle1795320:11932
    3Dep. Linares1794424:21331
    4Melipilla1691628:21728
    5Osorno1793534:221227
    6Brujas Salamanca1673621:22-124
    7Trasandino1771923:28-522
    8San Antonio Unido1773732:30221
    9Concon National1763827:25221
    10General Velasquez1746720:27-718
    11Deportes Rengo16421015:27-1214
    12Real San Joaquin16331013:28-1512
    13Santiago City16331017:38-2112

          Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso
          Relegation