Ñublense vs Deportes Puerto Montt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Cup Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt
Result
2:1 penalties
29/10/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHILE: Chilean Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1315
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
912
Corner Kicks
87
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Oyarzo Munoz B. ,
  • 36', Plaza M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Caroca R. 🟨,
  • 62', Sosa I. , Valdes A. ,
  • 62', Moya F. , Rozas I. ,
  • 64', Valdes A. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Caroca R. (Own goal),
  • 67', Rivera M. 🟨,
  • 71', Plaza M. , Bonacci P. ,
  • 79', Oyarzo Munoz B. , Sanchez P. ,
  • 82', Perez S. , Arias J. ,
  • 86', Bahamonde D. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 90+5', Diaz D. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Rubio P. (Pen),
  • 1, Vasquez L. (Pen),
  • 2, Rozas I. (Pen),
  • 2, Diaz D. (Pen),
  • 3, Rivera M. (Pen),
  • 3, Troncoso B. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ñublense
64.4%
Draw
21%
Deportes Puerto Montt
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 24.2% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
  • Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.53)
    4.31
    (3.61)
    6.48
    (5.71)
    8.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 3.
    • Ñublense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Puerto Montt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Puerto Montt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ñublense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:3 (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Deportes Puerto Montt - Ñublense 1:1
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato