Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        15/08/2025 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga de Ascenso - Round 21
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Iturra M. 🟨, 
- 25', Moreno C. 🟨, 
- 29', Ormeno E. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arancibia M. ↓, Coronado M. ↑, 
- 51', Ceron D. 🟨, 
- 58', Moreno C. ↓, Maturana M. ↑, 
- 63', Manriquez Hernandez F. ↓, Asprea T. ↑, 
- 71', Ceron D. ↓, Cid W. ↑, 
- 74', Maturana M. 🟨, 
- 77', Canete L. 🟨, 
- 78', 0 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽, 
- 79', Vasquez K. 🟨, 
- 85', Caroca I. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑, 
- 88', Campillay K. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Santiago Morning 36.7%
 | Draw 31.4%
 | Deportes Santa Cruz 31.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Morning's form might have worsened.Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Santiago Morning - Deportes Santa Cruz Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.5 ↑ (2.2)
 | 2.92 ↓ (3.25)
 | 2.88 ↓ (3.15)
 | 8.9% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Santiago Morning - Deportes Santa Cruz?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Morning: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Morning (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 3.
- Recent performances by Santiago Morning have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Morning won against Deportes Santa Cruz?
                    
                    
                        
                            Santiago Morning has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Santa Cruz won against Santiago Morning?
                    
                    
                        
                             Deportes Santa Cruz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Morning - Deportes Santa Cruz were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.04.2025 
                                Deportes Santa Cruz 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.10.2024 
                                Deportes Santa Cruz 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.06.2024 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                - 
                                Deportes Santa Cruz 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.08.2023 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                - 
                                Deportes Santa Cruz 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.03.2023 
                                Deportes Santa Cruz 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Santiago Morning                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportes Santa Cruz