Deportes Santa Cruz vs Unión San Felipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
75
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
206
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
151
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Garcia L. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Guajardo Barrera B. ,
  • 34', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Arias D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Brun N. , Palmieri N. ,
  • 46', Diaz Orostegui R. , Riveros B. ,
  • 46', Delgado J. , Pinto M. ,
  • 59', Munoz P. , Fontana A. ,
  • 65', Acevedo D. , Herrera H. ,
  • 69', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 72', Camisassa B. 🟨,
  • 81', Aravena B. , Fuentes D. ,
  • 84', Sanchez V. , Jara I. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Riveros B. ,
  • 90+1', Alucema G. , Zeineddin N. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Fontana A. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Santa Cruz
54.3%
Draw
25.9%
Unión San Felipe
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 28.3% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Santa Cruz's performance.
  • Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión San Felipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión San Felipe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (2.1)
    3.59
    (3.23)
    4.67
    (3.43)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Deportes Santa Cruz will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0.
    • Deportes Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión San Felipe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportes Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz 0:0
    01.06.2025 Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe 1:1
    03.08.2024 Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz 1:1
    23.03.2024 Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe 0:2
    10.09.2023 Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz 0:0
    Latest results of Unión San Felipe