Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Garcia L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Guajardo Barrera B. ⚽,
- 34', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Brun N. ↓, Palmieri N. ↑,
- 46', Diaz Orostegui R. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
- 46', Delgado J. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 59', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
- 65', Acevedo D. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 69', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 72', Camisassa B. 🟨,
- 81', Aravena B. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
- 84', Sanchez V. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Riveros B. ⚽,
- 90+1', Alucema G. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Fontana A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportes Santa Cruz 54.3% | Draw 25.9% | Unión San Felipe 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Santa Cruz's performance.Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión San Felipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión San Felipe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.1) |
3.59 ↑ (3.23) |
4.67 ↑ (3.43) |
7.8% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Santa Cruz will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0.
- Deportes Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión San Felipe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportes Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Santa Cruz won against Unión San Felipe?
Deportes Santa Cruz has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión San Felipe won against Deportes Santa Cruz?
Unión San Felipe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe were as follows:
12.10.2025
Unión San Felipe
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
01.06.2025
Deportes Santa Cruz
-
Unión San Felipe
1:1
03.08.2024
Unión San Felipe
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
23.03.2024
Deportes Santa Cruz
-
Unión San Felipe
0:2
10.09.2023
Unión San Felipe
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Latest results of Deportes Santa Cruz
Latest results of Unión San Felipe