Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima
Result
0:1
22/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.69
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
85% (391/461)77% (256/331)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.61
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
148
Passes
85% (391/461)77% (256/331)
Long passes
74% (37/50)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (110/156)59% (47/80)
Crosses
11% (4/35)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.25
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
814
Tackles
82% (9/11)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4636
Clearances
848
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.610.47
Goals prevented
-0.370.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Fuentes J. ,
  • 38', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valencia E. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 46', Fuentes J. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 46', Velasquez S. , Arrieta C. ,
  • 58', Pardo F. , Gil M. ,
  • 58', Torres E. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 58', Castillo J. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 61', Del Valle A. , Lucumi C. ,
  • 62', Perez K. , Trujillo C. ,
  • 74', Mosquera F. 🟨,
  • 77', Munoz J. , Villegas C. ,
  • 80', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
  • 82', Nieto J. , Quinones J. ,
  • 89', Lucumi C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3tdhf3yf

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
34.9%
Draw
31.5%
Deportes Tolima
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 30.8% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.6% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.4)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    2.8
    (3.05)
    4.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
    • Alianza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes Tolima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 3:1
    19.10.2024 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    29.03.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:2
    22.10.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:1
    16.08.2023 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

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