Result
0:1
22/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (391/461) | 77% (256/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (391/461) | 77% (256/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (37/50) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/156) | 59% (47/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/35) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Fuentes J. ⚽,
- 38', Perez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Valencia E. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 46', Fuentes J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 46', Velasquez S. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 58', Pardo F. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 58', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 58', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 61', Del Valle A. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 62', Perez K. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 74', Mosquera F. 🟨,
- 77', Munoz J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 80', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
- 82', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 89', Lucumi C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3tdhf3yf
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
34.9% | Draw
31.5% | Deportes Tolima
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.4) |
3.02
(3.02) |
2.8 ↓
(3.05) |
4.7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
- Alianza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Tolima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportes Tolima?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportes Tolima has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
07.02.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:1
19.10.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
29.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
22.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
16.08.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
