Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (222/298) | 71% (185/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (222/298) | 71% (185/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 49% (34/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', Nieto J. 🟨,
- 42', Quintero Y. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 64', Torres M. 🟨,
- 68', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Nieto J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 70', Estupinan A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 70', Aponza J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez M. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 80', Torres M. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
- 81', Quintero Y. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
- 83', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
- 84', Hurtado A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Luis Orejuela ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 90+5', Montoya J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Perez K. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yr25ckhy
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
49.3% | Draw
27.3% | Deportivo Cali
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cali's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.64) |
3.44 ↓
(3.53) |
4.19 ↓
(5.21) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Cali?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Cali has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
03.05.2025
Deportivo Cali
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
07.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
26.02.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Deportes Tolima
1:2
29.11.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
25.11.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Cali
4:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
