Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (257/332) | 83% (345/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (257/332) | 83% (345/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 68% (90/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Nieto J. ⚽,
- 26', Torres M. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 45+3', Arroyo A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gomez S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 49', Agron B. 🟨,
- 51', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 52', Castro D. 🟨,
- 59', Mayo S. 🟨,
- 65', Chaverra F. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
- 65', Castro D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 65', Mayo S. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 68', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 76', Nieto J. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
- 76', Perez K. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 76', Cruz W. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 86', Castro A. 🟨,
- 86', Angel Amaya Pena M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Polanco D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Arrieta C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3b7hjpxd
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
65% | Draw
23.5% | Deportivo La Equidad
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.62) |
3.99 ↑
(3.63) |
7.92 ↑
(5.71) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Deportes Tolima is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches La Equidad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:12 (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
10.08.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
5:1
23.05.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
3:0
18.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
2:3
10.02.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
26.08.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
