Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 0.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
77% (257/332) | 83% (345/417) |
Yellow Cards |
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5 | 6 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 0.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.34 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
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9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
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77% (257/332) | 83% (345/417) |
Long passes |
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44% (26/59) | 50% (29/58) |
Passes in final third |
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46% (33/71) | 68% (90/133) |
Crosses |
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40% (4/10) | 7% (1/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 10 |
Tackles |
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64% (9/14) | 100% (11/11) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 33 |
Clearances |
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28 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.30 | 1.34 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.70 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Nieto J. ⚽,
- 26', Torres M. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 45+3', Arroyo A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gomez S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 49', Agron B. 🟨,
- 51', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 52', Castro D. 🟨,
- 59', Mayo S. 🟨,
- 65', Chaverra F. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
- 65', Castro D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 65', Mayo S. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 68', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 76', Nieto J. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
- 76', Perez K. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 76', Cruz W. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 86', Castro A. 🟨,
- 86', Angel Amaya Pena M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Polanco D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Arrieta C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3b7hjpxd
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima 65% | Draw 23.5% | Deportivo La Equidad 11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.62) |
3.99 ↑ (3.63) |
7.92 ↑ (5.71) |
6.3% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Deportes Tolima is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches La Equidad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:12 (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
10.08.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
5:1
23.05.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
3:0
18.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
2:3
10.02.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
26.08.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )