Result
0:2
20/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (146/211) | 89% (543/611) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (146/211) | 89% (543/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 76% (109/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Montano B. 🟥,
- 25', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
- 25', Monaco M. ↓, Angel Amaya Pena M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
- 46', Quinones J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
- 59', Castilla J. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
- 64', Perez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 75', Nieto J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 78', Rovira B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 78', Valencia J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez F. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3ayrmsw4
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
19.6% | Draw
28.4% | Deportes Tolima
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.71 ↑
(4.67) |
3.3 ↓
(3.31) |
1.83 ↑
(1.81) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.
- La Equidad has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportes Tolima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
26.04.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
10.08.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
5:1
23.05.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo La Equidad
3:0
18.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
2:3
10.02.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
