Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/321) | 82% (430/527) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/321) | 82% (430/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (36/90) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (51/104) | 59% (65/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Cortes C. ⚽, Mantilla D. (A),
- 42', Mantilla D. 🟨,
- 45', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
- 59', Goez Y. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 59', Cortes C. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 74', Lencina G. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
- 74', Sierra C. ↓, Benitez B. ↑,
- 75', Uruena B. ↓, Bodencer E. ↑,
- 80', Ortega M. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez M. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 90', Escobar Salcedo J. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90+6', Montes G. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3smcwt2e
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
25.6% | Draw
30.8% | Deportes Tolima
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(3.31) |
3.03 ↓
(3.19) |
2.16 ↓
(2.25) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Llaneros SA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportes Tolima might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Deportes Tolima?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Llaneros SA?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
19.05.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Deportes Tolima
1:3
24.03.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Llaneros SA
1:0
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
