Llaneros SA vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima
Result
1:3
19/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Montano W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.78
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
86% (364/422)84% (329/393)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.623.51
Total shots
137
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
712
Passes
86% (364/422)84% (329/393)
Long passes
58% (26/45)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
71% (98/138)81% (54/67)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.30
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
127
Tackles
100% (11/11)83% (10/12)
Duels won
1926
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.510.62
Goals prevented
0.51-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', Restrepo E. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Lencina G. , Arrieta C. (A),
  • 13', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. , Quinones J. (A),
  • 32', Vega O. 🟨,
  • 32', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 34', Lencina G. (Pen),
  • 34', 0 - 3, Lencina G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo A. , Mera J. ,
  • 46', Restrepo E. , Mosquera D. ,
  • 46', Espinal F. , Mayorga J. ,
  • 59', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 65', Sierra C. , Reina H. ,
  • 65', Guzman C. , Reyes K. ,
  • 65', Miranda L. , Valencia E. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez J. , Diaz M. ,
  • 73', Quinones J. , Reyes C. ,
  • 77', Reyes C. 🟨,
  • 78', Lopez A. , Sierra M. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Reina H. , Uruena B. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n875ww2

Chances of winning


Llaneros SA
31.4%
Draw
31.6%
Deportes Tolima
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 30% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 29.3% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.8)
    2.98
    (3.05)
    2.54
    (2.45)
    5.7%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Llaneros SA (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    • Llaneros SA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportes Tolima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Deportes Tolima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    24.03.2025 Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA 1:0
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior33009:369
    2Atl. Nacional32017:436
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Pereira31114:404
    8Alianza31112:204
    9La Equidad31112:3-14
    10Dep. Pasto11003:213
    11Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    12Aguilas30212:3-12
    13Bucaramanga10101:101
    14America De Cali10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    18U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    19Millonarios10010:1-10
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )