Result
1:3
19/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (364/422) | 84% (329/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (364/422) | 84% (329/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (98/138) | 81% (54/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', Restrepo E. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽, Arrieta C. (A),
- 13', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
- 32', Vega O. 🟨,
- 32', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 34', Lencina G. (Pen),
- 34', 0 - 3, Lencina G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Angulo A. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 46', Restrepo E. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
- 46', Espinal F. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
- 59', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 65', Sierra C. ↓, Reina H. ↑,
- 65', Guzman C. ↓, Reyes K. ↑,
- 65', Miranda L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 73', Quinones J. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
- 77', Reyes C. 🟨,
- 78', Lopez A. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Reina H. ⚽, Uruena B. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n875ww2
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
31.4% | Draw
31.6% | Deportes Tolima
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.8) |
2.98 ↓
(3.05) |
2.54 ↑
(2.45) |
5.7%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Llaneros SA (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- Llaneros SA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportes Tolima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Deportes Tolima?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Llaneros SA?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
24.03.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Llaneros SA
1:0
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
