Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/344) | 81% (304/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/344) | 81% (304/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/116) | 72% (96/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Perez K. 🟨,
- 26', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 45', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rojas I. ↓, Garcia Castillo A. ↑,
- 50', Riquett J. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Velasquez S. ⚽, Gonzalez M. (A),
- 63', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 63', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 63', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 68', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 75', Perez K. (Pen),
- 78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 79', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 79', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
- 82', Zuleta M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 82', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5knt7fjv
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
36.5% | Draw
31% | Deportes Tolima
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.52) |
3.01 ↑
(2.98) |
2.87 ↓
(2.97) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
10.03.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
2:0
08.12.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:0
21.11.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
25.10.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:1
26.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
