Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.41 | 1.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (277/344) | 81% (304/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.41 | 1.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.31 | 1.16 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (277/344) | 81% (304/375) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (20/52) | 56% (28/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (84/116) | 72% (96/134) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (11/12) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 30 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.16 | 0.31 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.16 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Perez K. 🟨,
- 26', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 45', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rojas I. ↓, Garcia Castillo A. ↑,
- 50', Riquett J. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Velasquez S. ⚽, Gonzalez M. (A),
- 63', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 63', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 63', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 68', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 75', Perez K. (Pen),
- 78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 79', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 79', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
- 82', Zuleta M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 82', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5knt7fjv
Chances of winning
Once Caldas 36.5% | Draw 31% | Deportes Tolima 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.52) |
3.01 ↑ (2.98) |
2.87 ↓ (2.97) |
7.3% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
10.03.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
2:0
08.12.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:0
21.11.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
25.10.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:1
26.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )