Result
2:0
10/03/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (415/481) | 81% (277/342) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (108/141) | 76% (61/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 7% (1/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 75% (15/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Lencina G. (Pen),
- 45', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 46', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 49', Arroyo A. 🟨,
- 62', Valencia E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 66', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 76', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 78', Arroyo A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
- 86', Rojas I. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 86', Malagon J. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 86', Angulo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 87', Lencina G. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 87', Nieto J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrh8jehf
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
57.9% | Draw
24.9% | Once Caldas
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.71) |
3.77 ↑
(3.3) |
5.44 ↑
(5.29) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 2.
- Deportes Tolima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Once Caldas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Once Caldas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:15 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas were as follows:
08.12.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:0
21.11.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
25.10.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:1
26.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
12.05.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Once Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
