Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32
- Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
22.3% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Alavés
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.29) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.01 ↓
(2.22) |
6.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Alavés will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 60.7% – 93.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (30.71%), project points - 43, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (20.46%), project points - 70, currently - 54, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), a chance of promoted (40%), a small chance of win league (8%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 56, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
- Ponferradina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Alavés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Alavés is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Deportivo Alavés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Ponferradina?
Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
02.10.2022
Deportivo Alavés
-
Ponferradina
3:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
