Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32
- Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
22.3% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Alavés
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.29) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.01 ↓
(2.22) |
6.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Alavés will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 60.7% – 93.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (30.71%), project points - 43, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (20.46%), project points - 70, currently - 54, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), a chance of promoted (40%), a small chance of win league (8%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 56, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
- Ponferradina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Alavés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Alavés is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Deportivo Alavés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Ponferradina?
Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
02.10.2022
Deportivo Alavés
-
Ponferradina
3:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
