Ponferradina vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés
Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
22.3%
Draw
30.8%
Deportivo Alavés
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 30.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 28.9% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.21
    (3.29)
    3.04
    (3)
    2.01
    (2.22)
    6.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Alavés will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 60.7%93.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
    • Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (30.71%), project points - 43, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (20.46%), project points - 70, currently - 54, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), a chance of promoted (40%), a small chance of win league (8%).
    • This event has quality 31, importance 56, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
    • Ponferradina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alavés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Alavés is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Deportivo Alavés - Ponferradina 3:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    12.03.2023 Granada - Ponferradina 2:2
    05.03.2023 Ponferradina - Cartagena 0:3
    26.02.2023 Las Palmas - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2023 Ponferradina - Levante 0:0
    12.02.2023 Ibiza - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation