Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	1.85
Ball Possession
68%	32%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
82% (332/404)	62% (115/185)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	2.38
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
20	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
18	14
Passes
82% (332/404)	62% (115/185)
Long passes
51% (22/43)	26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
60% (67/112)	56% (32/57)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.32
Throw-ins
31	10
Fouls
14	18
Tackles
67% (6/9)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
43	34
Clearances
9	33
Interceptions
1	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
2.38	0.86
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. (Pen),
15', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Javier Reina ⚽,
28', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
38', Alba I. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
43', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
45', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Pons L. (Pen),
55', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
70', Javier Reina ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
72', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
72', Estupinan A. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
77', Estupinan A. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Varela J. (Own goal),
85', Luis Orejuela ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
86', Quintero Y. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ynb6wcby

Chances of winning

Atlético Bucaramanga
48.9%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Cali
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.67)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	4.47 ↓ (5.25)	3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
Bucaramanga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Cali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Bucaramanga is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportivo Cali?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali were as follows:

02.06.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali 3:1

14.02.2025 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0

27.10.2024 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0

06.04.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali 2:1

28.08.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali 1:0

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

24.07.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó 1:1 ✺

13.06.2025 Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

10.06.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

24.07.2025 Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Cali 0:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali 1:0 ✺

09.06.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Quindío 0:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	13	7	3	3	23:11	12	24
2	Fortaleza	13	6	6	1	19:13	6	24
3	Junior	12	6	4	2	24:16	8	22
4	Ind. Medellin	11	6	3	2	21:15	6	21
5	Atl. Nacional	12	5	5	2	20:15	5	20
6	Deportes Tolima	12	6	2	4	14:9	5	20
7	Llaneros	12	5	3	4	10:10	0	18
8	Dep. Cali	12	4	5	3	17:16	1	17
9	Santa Fe	12	4	5	3	12:11	1	17
10	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
11	Alianza	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
12	Pereira	12	3	5	4	10:11	-1	14
13	Millonarios	12	4	2	6	14:17	-3	14
14	America De Cali	12	3	4	5	9:10	-1	13
15	Envigado	12	2	6	4	9:11	-2	12
16	Aguilas	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
17	U. Magdalena	12	3	2	7	12:20	-8	11
18	La Equidad	12	2	5	5	7:15	-8	11
19	Chico	13	2	5	6	10:21	-11	11
20	Dep. Pasto	12	2	4	6	12:16	-4	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )