Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.33
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
86% (357/416)	84% (316/377)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.12
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
22	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
86% (357/416)	84% (316/377)
Long passes
54% (22/41)	32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
76% (98/129)	59% (51/86)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	0.37
Throw-ins
17	22
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
93% (14/15)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
29	29
Clearances
13	21
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.12	0.66
Goals prevented
0.12	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Estupinan A. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
18', Garcia M. 🟨,
19', Barrera J. 🟥,
33', Cardona J. 🟨,
44', Rojas I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
46', Graciano C. ↓, Venecia I. ↑,
58', Malagon J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
59', Barrios M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
62', Aguirre J. 🟨,
69', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
69', Viafara F. ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
69', Mejia V. ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
70', Cabal J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
77', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
82', Estupinan A. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
83', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4yv9t53y

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
59%

Draw
25.7%

Deportivo Cali
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)	6.06 ↑ (4.5)	6.9% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali?

Users Predictions: Once Caldas will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Cali has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Once Caldas is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Cali?

Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Once Caldas?

Deportivo Cali has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali were as follows:

14.09.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali 4:1

01.03.2024 Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas 0:1

30.07.2023 Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali 4:0

05.02.2023 Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas 0:0

17.10.2022 Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas 1:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

18.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Once Caldas - GVCD San José 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Once Caldas - Millonarios 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Once Caldas - Unión Española 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas Abandoned ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

17.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe 0:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )