Result
1:0
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/416) | 84% (316/377) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/416) | 84% (316/377) |
| Long passes |
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| 54% (22/41) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (98/129) | 59% (51/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Clearances |
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| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Estupinan A. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
- 18', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 19', Barrera J. 🟥,
- 33', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 44', Rojas I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 46', Graciano C. ↓, Venecia I. ↑,
- 58', Malagon J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
- 59', Barrios M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 62', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 69', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 69', Viafara F. ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
- 69', Mejia V. ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
- 70', Cabal J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 77', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 82', Estupinan A. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
- 83', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4yv9t53y
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
59% | Draw
25.7% | Deportivo Cali
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.75) |
3.63 ↑
(3.4) |
6.06 ↑
(4.5) |
6.9%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
- Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Cali has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Once Caldas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Cali?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Cali has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
14.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Cali
4:1
01.03.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Once Caldas
0:1
30.07.2023
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Cali
4:0
05.02.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Once Caldas
0:0
17.10.2022
Deportivo Cali
-
Once Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
