Result
0:3
27/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.08 | 2.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
2 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 12 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
81% (301/373) | 92% (567/614) |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.08 | 2.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 2.69 |
Total shots |
---|
2 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 12 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
0 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
4 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (301/373) | 92% (567/614) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (29/61) | 71% (34/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (35/60) | 81% (132/162) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/7) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.10 | 1.85 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (12/20) | 100% (6/6) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 8 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
9 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.69 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.31 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Ibarra R. (A),
- 37', Ibarra R. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Raggio E. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 46', Chacon J. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 46', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
- 49', Arroyo L. 🟥,
- 61', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Cazares (A),
- 69', 0 - 3, Spinelli C. ⚽,
- 76', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 76', Mercado P. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 82', Maccari M. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca 28.7% | Draw 29.8% | Independiente del Valle 41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.22 ↑ (2.83) |
3.1 ↓ (3.26) |
2.24 ↓ (2.37) |
7.9% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- In recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind del Valle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
05.04.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
4:0
31.01.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.10.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
05.05.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
28.10.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 46 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )