Result
0:3
27/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/373) | 92% (567/614) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/373) | 92% (567/614) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 71% (34/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 81% (132/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Ibarra R. (A),
- 37', Ibarra R. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Raggio E. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 46', Chacon J. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 46', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
- 49', Arroyo L. 🟥,
- 61', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Cazares (A),
- 69', 0 - 3, Spinelli C. ⚽,
- 76', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 76', Mercado P. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 82', Maccari M. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
28.7% | Draw
29.8% | Independiente del Valle
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.83) |
3.1 ↓
(3.26) |
2.24 ↓
(2.37) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- In recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind del Valle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
05.04.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
4:0
31.01.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.10.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
05.05.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
28.10.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
