Result
2:0
03/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, ESPN 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (195/277) | 80% (401/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (195/277) | 80% (401/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/83) | 56% (64/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Perleche E. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Flores F. ⚽,
- 37', Benincasa H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Graneros A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 46', Sandoval K. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 61', Penilla C. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 65', Lupu H. 🟨,
- 68', Flores F. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 68', Gordillo A. ↓, Quinones Goicochea J. J. ↑,
- 81', Munoz A. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
- 81', Perleche E. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 82', Da Silva B. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 89', Canales E. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 0, Coronel F. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
42.7% | Draw
31.6% | Deportivo Garcilaso
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.9) |
2.99 ↓
(3.24) |
3.65 ↓
(4.46) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Alianza Atlético (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Alianza Atlético could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atlético has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Alianza Atlético?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
05.10.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Atlético
2:4
16.05.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
10.08.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
29.02.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:0
01.10.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cienciano | FBC Melgar | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | Defensor Sp. | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | Monagas | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Caracas | Metropolitanos | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | U. De Chile | Palestino | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Cobresal | A. Italiano | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Atl. Nacional | Millonarios | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Independiente | Guabira | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Blooming | SA Bulo Bulo | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Dep. Cuenca | Libertad | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Orense | Macara | 0 : 1 |
