Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 27

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Coruña
55.2%
Draw
26%
Real Madrid Castilla
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 30.5% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 29.6% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Coruña's performance.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Coruña that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo La Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (2.07)
    3.55
    (3)
    4.92
    (3.64)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Deportivo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Deportivo is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Real Madrid Castilla - Deportivo La Coruña 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation