Result
0:3
23/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 80% (253/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 80% (253/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 65% (51/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 42', Covea M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Rito E. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 61', Heraldez L. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
- 61', Marquez M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 69', Ibarra R. 🟨,
- 69', Rito E. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 71', Castellanos J. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
- 81', Peralta R. 🟨,
- 83', Pena L. ↓, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↑,
- 84', Ibarra R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 84', Uribe A. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
- 84', Gudino I. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
- 87', Meza J. ↓, Osio D. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Flores F. (Pen),
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ⚽, Faya C. (A),
Chances of winning
Caracas
31.1% | Draw
30.1% | Deportivo La Guaira
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.51) |
3.08 ↑
(3) |
2.38 ↓
(2.77) |
8%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
- Caracas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo La Guaira is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Caracas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Caracas?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
06.03.2025
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Caracas
0:2
15.02.2025
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Caracas
1:0
17.07.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Caracas
0:0
02.02.2024
Caracas
-
Deportivo La Guaira
2:0
02.07.2023
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Caracas
2:2
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
