Result
1:2
25/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/359) | 87% (450/516) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (288/359) | 87% (450/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/96) | 73% (83/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Torrealba S. ⚽, Sulbaran S. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Peralta R. ⚽,
- 45', Pernia H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lezama A. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
- 52', Sulbaran S. 🟨,
- 56', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 58', Sulbaran S. ↓, Porcile P. ↑,
- 58', Cabezas R. ↓, Mejia F. ↑,
- 61', Lamadrid K. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 61', Caraballo J. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
- 70', Perdomo J. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
- 71', Martinez L. ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
- 71', Porcile P. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 2, Castillo S. ⚽, Castellanos J. (A),
- 78', Matheus D. ↓, Sequera J. ↑,
- 78', Flores A. ↓, Pomozy H. ↑,
- 78', Flores F. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 79', Rivas Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arias J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zamora
30.2% | Draw
30.3% | Deportivo La Guaira
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(4.01) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
2.39 ↑
(1.92) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Zamora (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Deportivo La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 1.
- Zamora is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo La Guaira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportivo La Guaira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Deportivo La Guaira is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Zamora won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Zamora has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Zamora?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
22.09.2024
Zamora
-
Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
24.03.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Zamora
2:1
19.08.2023
Zamora
-
Deportivo La Guaira
2:1
18.03.2023
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Zamora
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Caracas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Universidad Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Monagas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Yaracuyanos | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
