Cantolao vs Deportivo Llacuabamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 44', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cantolao
50.2%
Draw
29.9%
Deportivo Llacuabamba
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.5% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.3% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cantolao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cantolao's performance.
  • Deportivo Llacuabamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Llacuabamba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cantolao that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+23%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Llacuabamba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.8)
    2.96
    (3.44)
    4.87
    (2.22)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba?
  • Users Predictions: Cantolao will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cantolao will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cantolao is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Llacuabamba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cantolao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cantolao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cantolao 4:3
    Latest results of Cantolao
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2