Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes Belén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén
Result
0:1
05/10/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Chipao R. 🟨,
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 27', Cotrina J. 🟨,
  • 39', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Campos A. 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 61', Pinedo D. 🟨,
  • 70', Mendez P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Llacuabamba
65.9%
Draw
21.8%
Comerciantes Belén
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 24.2% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 23.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Llacuabamba's performance.
  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Llacuabamba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.59)
    4.16
    (3.77)
    7.37
    (4.94)
    10.2%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba 2:0
    31.05.2023 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén 2:1
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moquegua52216:609
    2Tacna Heroica52217:708
    3Carlos Mannucci42117:437
    4FC Cajamarca51225:6-17
    5Cesar Vallejo51134:6-24


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio550011:11015
    2Santos42025:6-16
    3Comerciantes51134:5-16
    4San Marcos51223:8-56
    5ADA Jaen50323:6-33

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)