Pirata vs Deportivo Llacuabamba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba
Result
4:1
21/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Torres J. ,
  • 37', Hoyos H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Anton P. , Tapia D. ,
  • 46', Carhualllanqui J. , Santos S. ,
  • 46', Huaman J. , Chaparro L. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Hoyos H. ,
  • 62', Tapia D. 🟨,
  • 75', Tunqui J. 🟨,
  • 80', Zarate M. , Bazan V. ,
  • 82', Jimenez C. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Carbajal J. ,
  • 87', Lugo K. , Suclupe M. ,
  • 87', Diez Canseco P. , Huaman B. ,
  • 87', Lopez K. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 87', Inga J. , Benites A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Chaparro L. ,
  • 90+2', Carbajal J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 1, Torres C. ,

Chances of winning


Pirata
29.5%
Draw
31.5%
Deportivo Llacuabamba
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirata's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Llacuabamba's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Llacuabamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.22)
    3.15
    (3)
    2.54
    (3.17)
    0.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pirata will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Llacuabamba will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Llacuabamba (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pirata won 2.
    • Pirata has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Llacuabamba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pirata might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pirata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pirata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba 1:0
    26.04.2025 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata 4:0
    07.07.2024 Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba 2:1
    19.05.2024 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata 4:0
    06.09.2023 Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba 0:3
    Latest results of Pirata
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica21104:314
    2Carlos Mannucci11001:013
    3Moquegua10102:201
    4FC Cajamarca20111:2-11
    5Cesar Vallejo20110:1-11


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2San Marcos21101:014
    3ADA Jaen20201:102
    4Comerciantes30121:4-31
    5Santos10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)