Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Senn F. ⚽,
- 30', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Bernal T. 🟨,
- 59', Bernal T. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
- 63', Dubini K. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,
- 66', Ibarra L. ↓, Arellano L. ↑,
- 72', Jimenez A. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 73', Senn F. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
- 73', Hermoso A. ↓, Ramirez U. ↑,
- 77', De Stefano D. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 78', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
- 79', Hernandez B. ↓, Escalante D. ↑,
- 79', Mino L. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
- 85', Escalante D. 🟨,
- 86', Mendez E. 🟨,
- 89', Sosa S. 🟥,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+2', Nicolaievsky F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Acassuso
31.5% | Draw
33.3% | Deportivo Merlo
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Merlo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.29) |
2.77 ↓
(3) |
2.62 ↓
(3.32) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 1.
- Acassuso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo Merlo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportivo Merlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Acassuso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Acassuso won against Deportivo Merlo?
Acassuso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Acassuso?
Deportivo Merlo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
07.09.2024
Acassuso
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:1
20.04.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Acassuso
0:0
23.09.2023
Acassuso
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:1
20.05.2023
Deportivo Merlo
-
Acassuso
0:2
Latest results of Acassuso
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villa San Carlos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sportivo Italiano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Midland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Flandria | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Deportivo Armenio | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Sacachispas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Acassuso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Argentino de Quilmes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | UAI Urquiza | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Fenix | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Liniers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Dock Sud | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Comunicaciones | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 | Villa Dalmine | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Argentino de Merlo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Excursionistas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
