Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué
Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
79
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sproat M. ,
  • 42', Ordano A. 🟥,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 45+5', Guerrero B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Vivas G. , Bogado J. ,
  • 71', Canete J. , Meaurio N. ,
  • 85', Sproat M. , Lopez B. ,
  • 85', Enrique F. , Castano A. ,
  • 86', Campana L. , Aguirre C. ,
  • 90+3', Castano A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lopez B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
39.7%
Draw
31.9%
Brown de Adrogué
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 29.7% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.
  • Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brown de Adrogué's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brown de Adrogué, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.02)
    2.88
    (3)
    3.24
    (4.02)
    8.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 11).
    • Deportivo Merlo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Deportivo Merlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Deportivo Merlo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.7:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Merlo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of Brown de Adrogué
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villa San Carlos743011:6515
    2Sportivo Italiano741212:7513
    3Midland64118:4413
    4Real Pilar73407:3413
    5Flandria73316:3312
    6Deportivo Armenio62406:2410
    7Sacachispas72417:6110
    8Acassuso62319:819
    9Laferrere72328:809
    10Brown Adrogue62228:9-18
    11San Martin Burzaco61416:517
    12Argentino de Quilmes71427:9-27
    13UAI Urquiza71425:7-27
    14Fenix71426:9-37
    15Dep. Merlo71335:7-26
    16Liniers71335:7-26
    17Dock Sud71334:6-26
    18Comunicaciones61326:9-36
    19Villa Dalmine71334:7-36
    20Argentino de Merlo71245:9-45
    21Excursionistas61147:11-44

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