Result
3:2
14/07/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | LPF Play |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Figueredo L. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Aguerre F. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Vallejo L. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Camargo T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perafan P. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 47', Gelos V. 🟨,
- 51', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 56', Vallejo L. 🟨,
- 62', Rojas M. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
- 62', Martin B. ↓, Crocco M. ↑,
- 62', Vergara D. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 1, Sandoval I. ⚽,
- 68', Vallejo L. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez R. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
- 76', Cabrera D. ↓, Ojeda G. ↑,
- 76', Benitez F. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez E. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
- 82', Aguerre F. 🟨,
- 85', Aguerre F. ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
- 87', Rios N. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Blanco S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo
34.3% | Draw
37% | Real Pilar
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.65) |
2.46 ↓
(2.85) |
3.17 ↑
(2.6) |
9.7%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Deportivo Merlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Pilar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Real Pilar?
Deportivo Merlo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Pilar won against Deportivo Merlo?
Real Pilar has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar were as follows:
04.03.2026
Real Pilar
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:3
04.10.2025
Real Pilar
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:0
18.05.2025
Deportivo Merlo
-
Real Pilar
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Real Pilar
Argentinian Primera B Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Excursionistas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:28 | 23 | 65 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres (R.E) | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 41:26 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 34:31 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:37 | -2 | 48 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 47 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:48 | -14 | 40 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 39 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Liniers | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 37 |
| 18 | Flandria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 29:42 | -13 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 34 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 34 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 34 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 17:29 | -12 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 34 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 20:53 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )
