Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Piccinetti S. 🟨,
- 41', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vazquez A. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Scarcella R. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 1, Meza A. ⚽,
- 68', Gauna I. ↓, Benega S. ↑,
- 68', Rapp A. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 69', Brito M. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
- 70', Ismael Aguirre G. M. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
- 70', Ingratti J. ↓, Sciacqua S. ↑,
- 76', Meza A. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 81', Aguerre F. 🟨,
- 85', Zeineddin N. ↓, Lieve E. ↑,
- 87', Postel F. 🟨,
- 90', Alaniz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UAI Urquiza
24.4% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Merlo
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Merlo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↑
(2.35) |
2.98 ↓
(3) |
2.05 ↓
(2.8) |
8.9%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2.
- UAI Urquiza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Merlo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Merlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has UAI Urquiza won against Deportivo Merlo?
UAI Urquiza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against UAI Urquiza?
Deportivo Merlo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
24.08.2024
UAI Urquiza
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:0
06.04.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
UAI Urquiza
1:1
12.06.2023
Deportivo Merlo
-
UAI Urquiza
1:0
11.02.2023
UAI Urquiza
-
Deportivo Merlo
2:0
27.08.2022
Deportivo Merlo
-
UAI Urquiza
1:2
Latest results of UAI Urquiza
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villa San Carlos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sportivo Italiano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Midland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Flandria | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Deportivo Armenio | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Sacachispas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Acassuso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Argentino de Quilmes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | UAI Urquiza | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Fenix | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Liniers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Dock Sud | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Comunicaciones | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 | Villa Dalmine | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Argentino de Merlo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Excursionistas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
