Result
1:3
25/06/2023 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio
75.3% | Draw
16.3% | Deportivo Municipal
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-31.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(2.19) |
5.59 ↑
(3.35) |
10.61 ↑
(3.1) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Municipal will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Unión Comercio is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Deportivo Municipal?
Unión Comercio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Municipal won against Unión Comercio?
Deportivo Municipal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal were as follows:
26.03.2023
Deportivo Municipal
-
Unión Comercio
2:0
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
