Result
1:3
25/06/2023 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio 75.3% | Draw 16.3% | Deportivo Municipal 8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-31.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.24 ↓ (2.19) |
5.59 ↑ (3.35) |
10.67 ↑ (3.1) |
7.9% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Municipal will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Unión Comercio is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Deportivo Municipal?
Unión Comercio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Municipal won against Unión Comercio?
Deportivo Municipal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal were as follows:
26.03.2023
Deportivo Municipal
-
Unión Comercio
2:0
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 17 |
2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 16 |
3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
8 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
10 | Alianza Huanuco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
12 | AD Tarma | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Grau | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
19 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )