Unión Comercio vs Deportivo Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal
Result
1:3
25/06/2023 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
75.3%
Draw
16.3%
Deportivo Municipal
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27.7% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.
  • Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-31.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (2.19)
    5.59
    (3.35)
    10.67
    (3.1)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Municipal will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Unión Comercio is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal were as follows:
    26.03.2023 Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio 2:0
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal330010:0109
    2Cusco33006:069
    3U. de Deportes32107:347
    4Deportivo Garcilaso32105:147
    5Sport Huancayo42118:717
    6Alianza Lima31113:4-14
    7FBC Melgar31112:3-14
    8Ayacucho41124:6-24
    9Alianza Atl30301:103
    10Alianza Huanuco31024:5-13
    11Grau21013:4-13
    12Juan Pablo II31025:7-23
    13Los Chankas21013:5-23
    14AD Tarma21011:3-23
    15Cajamarca20111:2-11
    16Cienciano30122:4-21
    17Binacional20110:2-21
    18Comerciantes Unidos30123:6-31
    19Sport Boys30120:5-51

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