Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 79% (227/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 79% (227/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (36/51) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/131) | 44% (16/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Bone F. ⚽, Ritacco G. (A),
- 16', Fabry 🟨,
- 26', Mena J. 🟨,
- 32', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Fabry ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hinestroza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 46', Castaneda F. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 50', Velasco E. 🟥,
- 54', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 57', Ritacco G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 57', Quinones D. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
- 67', Londono K. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 67', Chavez D. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 67', Jaramillo F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 67', Charrupi G. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Zapata C. ⚽,
- 80', Bone F. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
- 84', Sambueza F. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
- 90+1', Flores L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3ss9b47x
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
32.2% | Draw
32% | Deportivo Pasto
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.63) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
2.65 ↑
(2.63) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Deportivo Pasto (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Pasto will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
24.10.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
17.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
23.08.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
19.02.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
21.09.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
