Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.68
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
87% (417/480)	79% (227/286)
Yellow Cards
5	0
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	1.21
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
32	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	20
Passes
87% (417/480)	79% (227/286)
Long passes
71% (36/51)	55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
70% (92/131)	44% (16/36)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.86	0.43
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
20	8
Tackles
90% (9/10)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
33	46
Clearances
11	16
Interceptions
15	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.21	0.28
Goals prevented
-0.20	-1.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bone F. ⚽, Ritacco G. (A),
16', Fabry 🟨,
26', Mena J. 🟨,
32', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Fabry ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hinestroza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Castaneda F. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
50', Velasco E. 🟥,
54', Garcia J. 🟨,
57', Ritacco G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
57', Quinones D. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
67', Londono K. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
67', Chavez D. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
67', Jaramillo F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
67', Charrupi G. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Zapata C. ⚽,
80', Bone F. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
84', Sambueza F. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
90+1', Flores L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ss9b47x

Chances of winning

Atlético Bucaramanga
32.2%

Draw
32%

Deportivo Pasto
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.2%

35.1%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.63)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.65 ↑ (2.63)	6.7% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Deportivo Pasto (2.76) (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Pasto will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportivo Pasto?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

24.10.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 0:0

17.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2

23.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2

19.02.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 1:0

21.09.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 0:2

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

17.05.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:4 ✺

13.05.2025 Fortaleza - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Racing 0:4 ✺

03.05.2025 Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

18.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 3:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )