Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.31	2.46
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
12	22
Shots on target
7	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	7
Passes
84% (347/413)	88% (352/401)
Yellow cards
1	5
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.31	2.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.11	2.28
Total shots
12	22
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
3	10
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
5	9
Shots outside the box
7	13
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
11	10
Passes
84% (347/413)	88% (352/401)
Long passes
54% (27/50)	53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
80% (146/183)	78% (94/121)
Crosses
57% (4/7)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	2.14
Throw ins
10	12
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
77% (10/13)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
34	42
Clearances
24	13
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.28	2.11
Goals prevented
0.28	-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gomez P. ⚽, Mejia R. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽, Sanchez L. (A),
25', Mancilla H. 🟨,
34', Mejia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gil M. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
46', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
59', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
61', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
63', 4 - 0, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Moreno D. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
68', Sanchez L. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
68', Gomez P. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
68', Mejia R. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
71', Caicedo J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
71', Pisano M. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
71', Cordoba S. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Estupinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Quinones J. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Chavez D. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
90+5', Chavez D. 🟨,
90+6', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
49.4%

Draw
28.1%

Deportivo Pasto
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	4.16 ↓ (4.37)	6.8% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Once Caldas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4.
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, Once Caldas is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pasto?

Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

09.11.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 1:0

01.10.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 4:0

28.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 1:2

18.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 2:1

14.10.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 2:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

06.03.2026 Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas 0:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

09.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali 2:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo 3:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Inter Bogotá 1:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )