Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (239/293) | 82% (318/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (239/293) | 82% (318/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 64% (94/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Alarcon A. ⚽, Alba I. (A),
- 13', Carabali B. 🟨,
- 13', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 39', Rios J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Zapata Ramirez J. A. (A),
- 43', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Riquett J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 59', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 60', Ritacco G. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
- 60', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 70', Rojas I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 70', Barrios M. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Ordonez F. ⚽,
- 76', Moreno D. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 76', Garcia M. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 78', Bone F. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 78', Charrupi G. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 79', Rios J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 87', Palacios L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cardona J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/msurjbfp
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
34% | Draw
32.5% | Once Caldas
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.2) |
2.88 ↓
(3.1) |
2.84 ↓
(3.25) |
6.2%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 3.
- Deportivo Pasto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pasto?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas were as follows:
14.10.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
30.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
0:0
29.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
1:0
13.03.2023
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:1
22.08.2022
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
