Result
4:2
13/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/413) | 88% (352/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/413) | 88% (352/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (146/183) | 78% (94/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Gomez P. ⚽, Mejia R. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽, Sanchez L. (A),
- 25', Mancilla H. 🟨,
- 34', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Gil M. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
- 46', 3 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 46', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
- 59', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
- 61', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 63', 4 - 0, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Moreno D. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez L. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 68', Gomez P. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 68', Mejia R. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 71', Caicedo J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 71', Pisano M. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 71', Cordoba S. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Estupinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Quinones J. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 2, Chavez D. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
- 90+5', Chavez D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
49.4% | Draw
28.1% | Deportivo Pasto
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.83) |
3.31 ↑
(3.23) |
4.16 ↓
(4.37) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Once Caldas will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Once Caldas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pasto?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
09.11.2025
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
01.10.2025
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
4:0
28.08.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
1:2
18.05.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
2:1
14.10.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
