Result
1:0
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Colombia | Win Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
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| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (222/300) | 79% (307/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.86 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 8 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (222/300) | 79% (307/388) |
| Long passes |
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| 48% (29/61) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 52% (39/75) | 52% (48/93) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (5/14) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.65 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 22 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 46% (6/13) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.02 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.02 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Moya J. ⚽,
- 26', Castano M. ↓, Velasco E. ↑,
- 42', Torres G. 🟨,
- 45', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Torres G. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 46', Caicedo J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 46', Castillo D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 59', Quinones Y. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 67', Largacha J. 🟨,
- 73', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 79', Quintero D. ↓, Urrea S. ↑,
- 79', Moreno E. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
- 84', Jaramillo F. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 89', Largacha J. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
- 89', Merheg S. J. ↓, Pena G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mubs2bh8
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pereira
48.5% | Draw
31.1% | Deportivo Pasto
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
3.02 ↓
(3.15) |
4.57 ↑
(3.75) |
6.4%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
- Pereira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pereira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Deportivo Pasto?
Deportivo Pereira has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Deportivo Pereira?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
29.07.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportivo Pereira
2:0
31.01.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:1
13.09.2023
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
31.03.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportivo Pereira
0:0
02.10.2022
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
