Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	0.24
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
74% (222/300)	79% (307/388)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	0.02
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
4	6
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
15	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	22
Passes
74% (222/300)	79% (307/388)
Long passes
48% (29/61)	42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
52% (39/75)	52% (48/93)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.47
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
22	8
Tackles
46% (6/13)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
36	42
Clearances
31	12
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.02	0.86
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Moya J. ⚽,
26', Castano M. ↓, Velasco E. ↑,
42', Torres G. 🟨,
45', Quintero D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torres G. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
46', Castillo D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
59', Quinones Y. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
67', Largacha J. 🟨,
73', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
79', Quintero D. ↓, Urrea S. ↑,
79', Moreno E. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
84', Jaramillo F. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
89', Largacha J. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
89', Merheg S. J. ↓, Pena G. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mubs2bh8

Chances of winning

Deportivo Pereira
48.5%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Pasto
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	4.57 ↑ (3.75)	6.4% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
Pereira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Pasto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pereira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo Pereira has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Deportivo Pereira?

Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

29.07.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira 2:0

31.01.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 0:1

13.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 2:1

31.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira 0:0

02.10.2022 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 2:0

Latest results of Deportivo Pereira

08.05.2025 Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira 0:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 3:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla 1:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 3:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 1:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla 3:3 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	9	6	2	1	20:10	10	20
2	Ind. Medellin	9	6	1	2	16:10	6	19
3	Deportes Tolima	9	5	2	2	10:6	4	17
4	Atl. Nacional	9	4	4	1	15:8	7	16
5	Fortaleza	9	3	6	0	13:9	4	15
6	Llaneros	9	4	2	3	9:9	0	14
7	Bucaramanga	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
8	Santa Fe	9	3	3	3	9:10	-1	12
9	Pereira	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
10	Alianza	9	3	3	3	9:12	-3	12
11	Envigado	9	2	4	3	8:9	-1	10
12	La Equidad	9	2	4	3	6:9	-3	10
13	Dep. Cali	9	2	4	3	11:15	-4	10
14	Chico	10	2	4	4	7:11	-4	10
15	Dep. Pasto	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
16	Once Caldas	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
17	U. Magdalena	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
18	Millonarios	8	2	1	5	10:12	-2	7
19	Aguilas	9	1	4	4	9:14	-5	7
20	America De Cali	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )