Independiente Asuncion vs Deportivo Santaní – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Intermedia - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports, Tigo Sports+

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Dietze S. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Samaniego A. ,
  • 74', Florentin F. 🟥,
  • 74', Juan Gauto 🟥,

Chances of winning


Independiente Asuncion
34.1%
Draw
29.9%
Deportivo Santaní
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.9% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Santaní has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Santaní's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.16)
    3.07
    (3.35)
    2.55
    (3.15)
    8.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Santaní (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Independiente FBC (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente FBC (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Santaní (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1.
    • Independiente FBC is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Santaní has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Santaní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Independiente FBC might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion 2:1
    25.08.2024 Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion 1:0
    20.05.2024 Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní 1:0
    28.07.2023 Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní 2:2
    24.04.2023 Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion 1:0
    Paraguayan Division Intermedia Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tembetary22006:336
    2General Caballero JLM21106:244
    3Benjamin Aceval21104:044
    4Dep. Capiata21105:324
    512 de Junio21103:124
    6Independiente FBC21103:214
    7Paraguari AC21014:313
    8Encarnacion FC21013:303
    9Deportivo Santani21013:4-13
    10Resistencia21012:3-13
    11Sp. Carapegua21014:7-33
    123 de Noviembre20112:3-11
    13Sol de America20111:2-11
    14Tacuary20111:2-11
    15Fernando de la Mora20020:4-40
    16Guairena20022:7-50

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