Derby County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Derby County - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:1
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
62.9%
Draw
21.4%
Cheltenham Town
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.4% 17.3% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 16.9% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheltenham Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derby County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.3)
    4.38
    (5.43)
    6.03
    (9.1)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 72.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Derby is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    07.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Derby County 1:1
    28.02.2023 Derby County - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    14.01.2023 Cheltenham Town - Derby County 2:3
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two