Result
2:1
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
62.9% | Draw
21.4% | Cheltenham Town
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheltenham Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.3) |
4.38 ↓
(5.43) |
6.03 ↓
(9.1) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 72.9% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Derby is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Cheltenham Town?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Derby County?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
07.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Derby County
1:1
28.02.2023
Derby County
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
14.01.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Derby County
2:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
