Result
2:1
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
62.9% | Draw
21.4% | Cheltenham Town
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheltenham Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.3) |
4.38 ↓
(5.43) |
6.03 ↓
(9.1) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 72.9% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Derby is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Cheltenham Town?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Derby County?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
07.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Derby County
1:1
28.02.2023
Derby County
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
14.01.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Derby County
2:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
