Derby County vs Manchester City U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Derby County - Manchester City U21
18/10/2022 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Derby County - Manchester City U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Derby County
53.5%
Draw
23.4%
Manchester City U21
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.2% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 25.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Derby County - Manchester City U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.77)
    3.9
    (3.6)
    3.94
    (3.86)
    9.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2
    X
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