Falcons vs Deren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mongolian Premier League Falcons - Deren
Result
3:2
16/07/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Funami Y. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Erdenebat G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 72', 2 - 2, Baatartsogt N. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Sodmunkh A. ,

Chances of winning


Falcons
54.2%
Draw
20.9%
Deren
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 18.4% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 17.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcons's form might have worsened.
  • Deren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deren than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Falcons - Deren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.49)
    4.32
    (4.95)
    3.64
    (4.42)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Falcons is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Challenge League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 3.
    • Falcons has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Deren is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Falcons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Falcons is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Falcons will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Falcons won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Falcons - Deren were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Deren - Falcons 0:1
    12.10.2024 Falcons - Deren 2:1
    26.05.2024 Falcons - Deren 0:3
    05.04.2024 Deren - Falcons 0:1
    27.08.2023 Falcons - Deren 0:0
    Latest results of Falcons
    10.07.2025 Khoromkhon - Falcons 1:12
    01.07.2025 Khovd - Falcons 1:5
    27.06.2025 Falcons - Khaan Khuns-Erchim 12:0
    24.06.2025 Brera Ilch - Falcons 2:5
    19.06.2025 Falcons - Hunters 2:0
    Latest results of Deren
    10.07.2025 Deren - Khangarid 1:3
    06.07.2025 Deren - Khoromkhon 10:0
    02.07.2025 Tuv Azarganuud - Deren 1:3
    22.06.2025 Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Deren 1:3
    18.06.2025 Deren - Brera Ilch 8:1
    Mongolian Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Falcons272142104:198567
    2Khangarid26173663:323154
    3FC Ulaanbaatar27156665:402551
    4Deren27155783:305350
    5Khoromkhon271111558:89-3134
    6Khovd27951372:611132
    7Hunters27851438:49-1129
    8Khaan Khuns-Erchim26761354:61-727
    9Tuv Azarganuud27711931:156-12522
    10Brera Ilch27441943:74-3116

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