Karaman Belediyespor vs Derince Belediyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Second League Red Group Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor
Result
3:2
20/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Tankul I. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Yaldir P. ,
  • 45+4', 3 - 0, Yaldir P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', 3 - 1, Altintas B. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Tastemur O. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Karaman Belediyespor
55.1%
Draw
22.9%
Derince Belediyespor
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 29.1% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karaman Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karaman Belediyespor's performance.
  • Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derince Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karaman Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derince Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.33)
    4.09
    (3.08)
    4.26
    (2.9)
    6.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karaman will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Derince Belediyespor will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derince Belediyespor: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Karaman (votes: 2 - 40%). Derince Belediyespor (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Karaman is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derince Belediyespor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Derince Belediyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Karaman will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Karaman won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karaman won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Derince Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor 0:0
    25.02.2024 Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor 2:0
    14.10.2023 Derince Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ElazigsporBye
    3Aksaray Bld.Karacabey Bld.1 : 0
    4MenemensporVanspor FK1 : 3
    5Batman PetrolsporBye
    7KastamonusporBeykoz Anadolu4 : 0
    8AdanaAltinordu2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1ElazigsporBye
    2Aksaray Bld.Vanspor FK0 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Batman PetrolsporBye
    4KastamonusporAltinordu0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ElazigsporVanspor FK0 : 3, 1 : 4
    2Batman PetrolsporAltinordu1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Vanspor FKBatman Petrolspor1 : 0