Result
3:4
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (384/477) | 67% (192/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (384/477) | 67% (192/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (41/81) | 43% (30/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (114/167) | 61% (74/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, James-Taylor D. (Pen),
- 20', 1 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽,
- 21', Diallo S. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', McDonnell A. ↓, Byrne C. ↑,
- 56', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 2, Flores J. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 3, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
- 69', Diallo S. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 70', Okedina J. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
- 70', Meekison A. ↓, Buckley K. ↑,
- 70', Boyce R. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 3, James-Taylor D. ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 4, Akinyemi D. ⚽,
- 77', Boyce R. 🟨,
- 77', Benson R. 🟨,
- 82', Cornwall R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
- 83', Stott J. ↓, Connolly M. ↑,
- 88', Idehen D. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bohemians Dublin
33.5% | Draw
33.2% | Derry City
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bohemians Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bohemians Dublin's form might have worsened.Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bohemians Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bohemians Dublin - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.28) |
3.16 ↑
(3.05) |
3.11 ↓
(3.25) |
-6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bohemians Dublin - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bohemians will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Derry will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bohemians: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bohemians (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Bohemians will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bohemians: Devoy D.
(Yellow Cards)
Mountney J.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Doherty B.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians Dublin won against Derry City?
Bohemians Dublin has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Bohemians Dublin?
Derry City has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bohemians Dublin - Derry City were as follows:
25.07.2025
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
1:1
30.05.2025
Bohemians Dublin
-
Derry City
1:0
21.02.2025
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
1:0
11.10.2024
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
1:1
04.10.2024
Bohemians Dublin
-
Derry City
0:2
Latest results of Bohemians Dublin
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 48:24 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | Derry City | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Waterford | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 33:50 | -17 | 34 |
| 8 | Galway | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | Cork City | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
