Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 14
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (309/427) | 66% (203/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (309/427) | 66% (203/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (36/82) | 36% (32/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (71/121) | 49% (67/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 70% (23/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Olayinka J. ⚽, O'Reilly A. (A),
- 42', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', James-Taylor D. ↓, Tierney R. ↑,
- 51', Winchester C. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Strods M. ⚽, Whelan C. (A),
- 59', McClean P. 🟨,
- 67', Olayinka J. ↓, Duffy M. ↑,
- 67', Thomas J. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
- 69', Mullen S. 🟨,
- 75', Strods M. 🟨,
- 76', Morahan N. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
- 76', Mullen S. ↓, Byrne C. ↑,
- 77', Markey D. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
- 79', Dummigan C. 🟨,
- 82', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 83', Hickey P. 🟨,
- 86', Cotter B. 🟨,
- 86', Power D. ↓, Harpur J. ↑,
- 87', Strods M. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bohemians Dublin
53% | Draw
26.1% | Derry City
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Bohemians Dublin - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.92) |
3.57 ↑
(3.26) |
4.44 ↑
(4.1) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bohemians Dublin - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bohemians will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Derry will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 2.
- Recent form of Bohemians has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Derry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Derry has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bohemians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Duffy M.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
Slevin R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derry: McClean J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians Dublin won against Derry City?
Bohemians Dublin has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Bohemians Dublin?
Derry City has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bohemians Dublin - Derry City were as follows:
20.02.2026
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
0:1
12.09.2025
Bohemians Dublin
-
Derry City
3:4
25.07.2025
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
1:1
30.05.2025
Bohemians Dublin
-
Derry City
1:0
21.02.2025
Derry City
-
Bohemians Dublin
1:0
Latest results of Bohemians Dublin
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Derry City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Galway | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Waterford | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
