Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 15
- Referee: Toland D. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (247/359) | 64% (234/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (247/359) | 64% (234/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (30/81) | 33% (28/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (50/98) | 52% (78/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Kiernan M. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, Whyte G. (A),
- 45', Lyons C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Anderson F. ↓, Nelson K. ↑,
- 47', Duffy M. 🟨,
- 48', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 53', Whyte G. 🟨,
- 53', Boyce R. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Daniels D. ⚽, O'Sullivan C. (A),
- 62', Connolly M. 🟨,
- 65', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 65', Whyte G. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 67', Crowley D. ↓, Bolger G. ↑,
- 67', McLaughlin E. ↓, Shipston R. ↑,
- 71', Daniels D. ↓, Skieters H. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Holt K. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 84', Kiernan M. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
- 86', Winchester C. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 90+8', Shipston R. 🟨,
- 90+14', Todd S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cork City
18.9% | Draw
28.1% | Derry City
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Cork City - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.91 ↑
(4.33) |
3.35 ↓
(3.56) |
1.77 ↓
(1.8) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cork City - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Derry will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 0.
- Cork City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Derry is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cork City: Bolger G.
(Inactive)
Couto B.
(Ankle Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Injury)
Keating R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Maguire S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Diallo S.
(Injury)
Doherty B.
(Inactive)
Dummigan C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cork City won against Derry City?
Cork City has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Cork City?
Derry City has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cork City - Derry City were as follows:
04.04.2025
Derry City
-
Cork City
2:1
16.08.2024
Cork City
-
Derry City
0:1
27.10.2023
Cork City
-
Derry City
0:1
23.06.2023
Derry City
-
Cork City
2:0
21.04.2023
Cork City
-
Derry City
1:3
Latest results of Cork City
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Waterford | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
