KuPS Kuopio vs Derry City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
03/08/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
43.4%
Draw
30.2%
Derry City
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.3% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • KuPS Kuopio - Derry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    3.06
    (3.24)
    3.57
    (3.16)
    7.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Derry City?
  • Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • KuPS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derry in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Derry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Derry have a series of home games.
    • KuPS will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches KuPS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Derry City were as follows:
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    30.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka 2:0
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    17.07.2023 Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    08.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa 0:1
    Latest results of Derry City
    27.07.2023 Derry City - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    23.07.2023 Derry City - Athlone Town 3:0
    20.07.2023 Derry City - HB Tórshavn 1:0
    13.07.2023 HB Tórshavn - Derry City 0:0
    07.07.2023 Derry City - Sligo Rovers 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2