Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (433/543) | 73% (305/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (433/543) | 73% (305/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (41/84) | 32% (32/99) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (138/201) | 63% (83/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Winchester C. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 33', McManus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kavanagh C. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
- 57', Cann H. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
- 64', Agbaje E. 🟨,
- 65', McManus J. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 65', McElroy G. ↓, Denham O. ↑,
- 76', Diallo S. 🟨,
- 79', Diallo S. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 87', Agbaje E. ↓, Reynolds C. ↑,
- 88', O'Kane R. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Duffy M. ⚽, Benson R. (A),
Chances of winning
Derry City
57.4% | Draw
25.2% | Sligo Rovers
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Derry City - Sligo Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.56) |
3.71 ↓
(4) |
5.46 ↓
(5.51) |
5.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derry City - Sligo Rovers?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
- Derry is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sligo Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sligo Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Derry is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Derry: Akinyemi D.
(Injury)
Boyce L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Sligo Rovers?
Derry City has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Derry City?
Sligo Rovers has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Derry City
2:0
22.04.2025
Derry City
-
Sligo Rovers
3:0
15.03.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Derry City
0:1
21.01.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Derry City
2:3
14.10.2024
Derry City
-
Sligo Rovers
1:1
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 39:52 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
