Result
69:74
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Lega A - Round 27
- Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | LBA TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 67 | 60 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 29.85% | 38.33% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 39.39% | 39.47% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 20.59% | 36.36% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 75.9% | 80% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Derthona Basket Tortona
44.6% | Virtus Bologna
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.05) |
|
1.71
(1.71) |
5.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 171.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna?
Users Predictions:
Derthona Basket Tortona will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derthona Basket Tortona will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:87.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Tortona will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1535:1746. (average 76.8:87.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 723:739. (average 80.3:82.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona Basket Tortona won against Virtus Bologna?
Derthona Basket Tortona has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Bologna won against Derthona Basket Tortona?
Virtus Bologna has won 13 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna were as follows:
21.02.2026
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Virtus Bologna
84:78
08.12.2025
Virtus Bologna
-
Derthona Basket Tortona
92:77
09.02.2025
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Virtus Bologna
66:98
06.11.2024
Virtus Bologna
-
Derthona Basket Tortona
85:81
21.05.2024
Virtus Bologna
-
Derthona Basket Tortona
92:63
Latest results of Derthona Basket Tortona
Latest results of Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 26 | 21 | 5 | 2235:2054 | 42 |
| 2 | Brescia | 26 | 20 | 6 | 2321:2192 | 40 |
| 3 | Olimpia Milano | 26 | 19 | 7 | 2274:2085 | 38 |
| 4 | Venezia | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2336:2215 | 36 |
| 5 | Tortona | 26 | 15 | 11 | 2252:2220 | 30 |
| 6 | Reggiana | 26 | 14 | 12 | 2179:2087 | 28 |
| 7 | Trieste | 26 | 13 | 13 | 2183:2263 | 26 |
| 8 | Varese | 27 | 12 | 15 | 2270:2356 | 24 |
| 9 | Cremona | 26 | 10 | 16 | 2125:2202 | 20 |
| 10 | Basket Napoli | 26 | 10 | 16 | 2188:2262 | 20 |
| 11 | Udine | 26 | 10 | 16 | 2140:2166 | 20 |
| 12 | Trento | 26 | 10 | 16 | 2218:2228 | 20 |
| 13 | Cantu | 27 | 9 | 18 | 2297:2406 | 18 |
| 14 | Treviso | 26 | 8 | 18 | 2183:2345 | 16 |
| 15 | Sassari | 26 | 7 | 19 | 2229:2349 | 14 |
| 16 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
