Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Tocila A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lavagnese 37.3% | Draw 30.3% | Derthona 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lavagnese - Derthona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.81) |
3.02 ↓ (3.18) |
2.83 ↑ (2.32) |
9.1% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lavagnese won against Derthona?
Lavagnese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona won against Lavagnese?
Derthona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lavagnese - Derthona were as follows:
19.10.2025
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
1:1
12.01.2025
Lavagnese
-
Derthona
0:3
15.09.2024
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
2:2
04.02.2024
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
1:4
Latest results of Lavagnese
Latest results of Derthona
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation