Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Tocila A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lavagnese
37.3% | Draw
30.3% | Derthona
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lavagnese - Derthona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.81) |
3.02 ↓
(3.18) |
2.83 ↑
(2.32) |
9.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lavagnese won against Derthona?
Lavagnese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona won against Lavagnese?
Derthona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lavagnese - Derthona were as follows:
19.10.2025
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
1:1
12.01.2025
Lavagnese
-
Derthona
0:3
15.09.2024
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
2:2
04.02.2024
Derthona
-
Lavagnese
1:4
Latest results of Lavagnese
Latest results of Derthona
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado ✔ | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 66:22 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Ligorna ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 69 |
| 3 | AS Biellese ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54:32 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Varese FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 53 |
| 6 | Chisola | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35:30 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 45 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Celle Varazze | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Imperia | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Cairese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Club Milano | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 35:45 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | Gozzano ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Asti ✔ | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin ✔ | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 25:73 | -48 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vado is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
AS Biellese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
Gozzano is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Asti is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Lavagnese is Relegated to
NovaRomentin is Relegated to
