Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Motti F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Correggese
23.2% | Draw
28.2% | Desenzano Calvina
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desenzano Calvina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Correggese - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.3) |
3.22 ↑
(3.15) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
10.1%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Correggese - Desenzano Calvina?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Desenzano Calvina will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Correggese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Desenzano could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Correggese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Correggese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Correggese won against Desenzano Calvina?
Correggese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Correggese?
Desenzano Calvina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correggese - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
24.09.2025
Desenzano Calvina
-
Correggese
2:2
Latest results of Correggese
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 53:20 | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 46:18 | 28 | 69 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 67 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 58 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Crema | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 | Correggese | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Sant'Angelo | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 13 | SCD Progresso | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Imolese | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25:55 | -30 | 21 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 31 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 15:67 | -52 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
