Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Motti F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Correggese
23.2% | Draw
28.2% | Desenzano Calvina
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desenzano Calvina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Correggese - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.3) |
3.22 ↑
(3.15) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
10.1%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Correggese - Desenzano Calvina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Desenzano Calvina will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Correggese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Desenzano could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Correggese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Correggese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Correggese won against Desenzano Calvina?
Correggese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Correggese?
Desenzano Calvina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correggese - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
24.09.2025
Desenzano Calvina
-
Correggese
2:2
Latest results of Correggese
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 50:19 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Pistoiese | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 39:15 | 24 | 59 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
| 6 | Pro Palazzolo | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 46 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 31:22 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Crema | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:36 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:37 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | Imolese | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 21 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21:40 | -19 | 20 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 15:58 | -43 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
