Result
0:1
08/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Procaccio A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Tropical Coriano
12.4% | Draw
22.3% | Desenzano Calvina
65.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-3%)
Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.34 ↑
(6.27) |
4.09 ↑
(3.62) |
1.4 ↓
(1.5) |
9.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- Tropical Coriano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Tropical Coriano has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Desenzano is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tropical Coriano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tropical Coriano won against Desenzano Calvina?
Tropical Coriano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Tropical Coriano?
Desenzano Calvina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
16.11.2025
Desenzano Calvina
-
Tropical Coriano
2:0
Latest results of Tropical Coriano
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 53:20 | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 46:18 | 28 | 69 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 67 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 58 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Crema | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 | Correggese | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Sant'Angelo | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 13 | SCD Progresso | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Imolese | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25:55 | -30 | 21 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 31 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 15:67 | -52 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
