Desenzano Calvina vs Tropical Coriano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Brighenti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Desenzano Calvina
58.6%
Draw
24.5%
Tropical Coriano
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.2% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 21.2% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Tropical Coriano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.45)
    3.72
    (4.05)
    5.36
    (5.7)
    10.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
    • Desenzano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tropical Coriano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Desenzano is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Desenzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
    Latest results of Tropical Coriano
    Italian Serie D - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Desenzano28196350:193163
    2Pistoiese27178247:163159
    3Lentigione27185439:152459
    4Piacenza28166650:282254
    5Pro Sesto28148640:221850
    6Pro Palazzolo28137838:271146
    7Rovato Vertovese28137831:25646
    8Cittadella Vis Modena28129731:22945
    9Sangiuliano City28127934:34040
    10Crema28991031:36-536
    11Sant'Angelo28961331:42-1133
    12SCD Progresso28771427:36-928
    13Correggese28691324:33-927
    14Sasso Marconi28761527:37-1027
    15Imolese28591420:41-2124
    16Trevigliese28561725:50-2521
    17Tropical Coriano28481621:40-1920
    18Tuttocuoio28072115:58-437

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
          Relegation